If you watched the NBC Nightly News on Wednesday, June 1st, you heard the story of a boy, La’Shaun Armstrong, just 10 years old, who survived a very tragic accident in which his mother drove a van carrying him and his three siblings into the Hudson river. La’Shaun was able to escape via a car window and swim for help. Tragically, his mother and siblings were dead by the time help arrived. But if you watched that broadcast, you also heard that the Ray Lewis Foundation and United Athletes Foundation (UAF) recently organized a fund-raising event to provide La’Shaun with counseling and a college scholarship and how athletes involved with the foundation have rallied to support La’Shaun.
I am going to put on my economist’s hat to talk first about college funds. Over the past decade, tuition and fees at four-year public colleges and universities have increased more rapidly than they did during the 1980s or 1990s, rising by an average of nearly 5 percent each year (adjusted for inflation). With this trend unlikely to abate, an average American family with children can expect to dedicate a sizable share of their resources to paying college tuition. However, according to the FINRA Financial Capability Study, well below half—41 percent—of those who have financially dependent children have set money aside for college educations. And even those who have set money aside may not have done it in the most tax-savvy way. Only 33 percent of those who have set aside money for college educations have used a tax-advantaged savings account such as a 529 Plan or a Coverdell Education Savings Account.
But with the costs of college increasing so fast, planning for children’s education is critically important and may be the deciding factor in whether children will be able to go to the college of their choice or even to attend college at all. And with wages diverging so widely for workers with and without a college degree, not having that degree may mean a lifetime of low and stagnating wages. Building a college savings fund may be not only the best investment for the children’s future but also a way to inspire children to go to college. Of course, starting early is the key to build up savings: one dollar put aside today at an interest rate of 5 percent will more than double 15 years down the road. It is great that the foundations helping La’Shaun have thought about a college fund for him.
But let me now return to this story without my economist’s hat. As Albert Camus would say, life has its way of being tragic, and those frigid waters changed La’Shaun’s life instantly and dramatically. His is a story of incredible survival and resilience. Still, a kid of that age needs more than financial support. I had the opportunity to meet La’Shaun in New York at the recent event organized by the UAF. He is a shy kid with a tenderness in his eyes, and on meeting him, you can hardly resist giving him a hug. And a big hug he got from, well, a very big guy (you can see pictures of those strong hugs along with the full NBC story here: http://today.msnbc.msn.com/id/43236305/ns/today-today_people/t/boy-who-survived-hudson-crash-nfl-star-brother/ ). Ray Lewis and the UAF have committed not just to establishing a college fund but to being the mentors, the family, of this very special kid. In the words of La’Shaun, Ray Lewis is “like an older brother to me.” Reggie Howard, the president of UAF, has made La’Shaun part of the players’ families.
When asked what they aim to do for La’Shaun, Ray Lewis stated it succinctly. His hopes are “to achieve much more than what his situation offered.” There is early indication that what they are doing is working. When asked what he wants to do when he grows up, La’Shaun responded without hesitation: “I’m not sure yet.. First, I have to finish college.”
If you want to donate to this very special college fund, see the link below.
http://www.unitedathletesfoundation.org/
Jumat, 03 Juni 2011
Senin, 30 Mei 2011
Ending Athletes' Bankruptcies
I’d like to dedicate another blog post to the issue of athletes and financial literacy. Around the time of my previous post on the topic, NPR featured a story about professional athletes and their financial literacy (the link is provided at the end of this post). The article mentions Kenny Anderson, who earned more than $60 million during his 14 years in the NBA, yet declared bankruptcy the year his career ended. The story goes on to talk about what happens when athletes acquire great wealth without having a clue about money management. Even in the NFL, which has the most college graduates, players often do not have any experience managing money, including what they might learn from paying for a college education, as they generally attend college on a scholarship.
I sent the NPR story to Reggie Howard, who is the President of the United Athletes Foundation and cares deeply about this topic. His reply came back with even more sobering information. He was just informed that 15 athletes in one city alone have been victimized by a single financial advisor. Each athlete gave the advisor’s agency control over their bill payments and money management and all got a bad deal. No one ever talked about it, which allowed the advisor to continue to use the same method on each player. Reggie was outraged and ended his message with the passionate tone he uses when he talks about victimized players: “This subject really gets my blood boiling. We have to change this.”
Stories like this one illustrate yet again the dire consequences of financial illiteracy. Unfortunately, professional athletes—newly wealthy, young, and inexperienced—are ideal targets for scams or unscrupulous advisors when instead good financial planning is the thing they need the most. Even for those making very sizeable incomes, there is no guarantee that the money will last a lifetime; athletes’ career paths are very unique (for example, they can be quite brief) and risky (a serious injury can put a quick end to a high income), and this requires even more skillful money management than normal. Sound planning is needed to make sure that money will extend well beyond the careers of players, that it is invested to grow over time, and that it is not squandered in unsustainable lifestyles or in risky investments that players do not understand or have experience with. And athletes need to know how to protect their wealth, including how to avoid bad advisors and unscrupulous agents and how to make good decisions when presented with well-intended requests or investment suggestions from friends.
We cannot expect all professional athletes to be experts in dealing with money. They become wealthy very early in life, before they have had a chance to gain any experience in dealing with financial matters. Their colleagues are mostly other athletes or sports professionals, so it is not possible to get much help from their peers. In my view, some money management has to become part of the standard, ongoing services that are offered to athletes. In the same way that it is standard for athletes to have coaches, doctors, and managers to help take care of their physical fitness, so it should be standard to have help in taking care of their financial fitness. And this help has to be specialized, designed to fit the needs of the very specific career that athletes face. Finance and financial decisions are too important, with potentially profound consequences for athletes' lives, to just be left for the athletes to figure out on their own.
Like Reggie, I detest the idea of athletes going bankrupt. It is not just the fact that it is unjust, unnecessary, and ugly as hell. It is also that we look up to and admire these people. Unlike them, we cannot bound up two flights of stairs without gasping for breath, we have back pain from sitting long hours at a desk, and we have boring jobs and screaming children. But when we see these athletes play, they make us dream. We believe they are special and we admire their skills and talents. This is why we get very upset when we find out that an athlete has, say, a gambling problem or beats up his spouse. In our eyes, they are better than we are, and they should do better than we do. And to young people, athletes are practically superheroes. Telling kids about athletes’ financial troubles would be like breaking the news that the Bat mobile has been repossessed. If athletes are in financial trouble, then, well, they are just like the rest of us. I’d like to see them be better equipped to make good financial moves; maybe if they can do so, the rest of us will follow.
Here is the link to the NPR story.
http://www.npr.org/2011/05/19/136445218/for-some-athletes-a-short-lived-financial-success
I sent the NPR story to Reggie Howard, who is the President of the United Athletes Foundation and cares deeply about this topic. His reply came back with even more sobering information. He was just informed that 15 athletes in one city alone have been victimized by a single financial advisor. Each athlete gave the advisor’s agency control over their bill payments and money management and all got a bad deal. No one ever talked about it, which allowed the advisor to continue to use the same method on each player. Reggie was outraged and ended his message with the passionate tone he uses when he talks about victimized players: “This subject really gets my blood boiling. We have to change this.”
Stories like this one illustrate yet again the dire consequences of financial illiteracy. Unfortunately, professional athletes—newly wealthy, young, and inexperienced—are ideal targets for scams or unscrupulous advisors when instead good financial planning is the thing they need the most. Even for those making very sizeable incomes, there is no guarantee that the money will last a lifetime; athletes’ career paths are very unique (for example, they can be quite brief) and risky (a serious injury can put a quick end to a high income), and this requires even more skillful money management than normal. Sound planning is needed to make sure that money will extend well beyond the careers of players, that it is invested to grow over time, and that it is not squandered in unsustainable lifestyles or in risky investments that players do not understand or have experience with. And athletes need to know how to protect their wealth, including how to avoid bad advisors and unscrupulous agents and how to make good decisions when presented with well-intended requests or investment suggestions from friends.
We cannot expect all professional athletes to be experts in dealing with money. They become wealthy very early in life, before they have had a chance to gain any experience in dealing with financial matters. Their colleagues are mostly other athletes or sports professionals, so it is not possible to get much help from their peers. In my view, some money management has to become part of the standard, ongoing services that are offered to athletes. In the same way that it is standard for athletes to have coaches, doctors, and managers to help take care of their physical fitness, so it should be standard to have help in taking care of their financial fitness. And this help has to be specialized, designed to fit the needs of the very specific career that athletes face. Finance and financial decisions are too important, with potentially profound consequences for athletes' lives, to just be left for the athletes to figure out on their own.
Like Reggie, I detest the idea of athletes going bankrupt. It is not just the fact that it is unjust, unnecessary, and ugly as hell. It is also that we look up to and admire these people. Unlike them, we cannot bound up two flights of stairs without gasping for breath, we have back pain from sitting long hours at a desk, and we have boring jobs and screaming children. But when we see these athletes play, they make us dream. We believe they are special and we admire their skills and talents. This is why we get very upset when we find out that an athlete has, say, a gambling problem or beats up his spouse. In our eyes, they are better than we are, and they should do better than we do. And to young people, athletes are practically superheroes. Telling kids about athletes’ financial troubles would be like breaking the news that the Bat mobile has been repossessed. If athletes are in financial trouble, then, well, they are just like the rest of us. I’d like to see them be better equipped to make good financial moves; maybe if they can do so, the rest of us will follow.
Here is the link to the NPR story.
http://www.npr.org/2011/05/19/136445218/for-some-athletes-a-short-lived-financial-success
Rabu, 11 Mei 2011
Financial literacy and football
I was recently invited to participate in a panel on financial literacy that was organized by the United Athletes Foundation (UAF) and the STAR EMBA program at the GW School of Business. It was held at the New York Stock Exchange, and it was good to go back to NYSE a second time. I had accepted the invitation without giving much thought to who would be in attendance at the event. A few days before the event (which was held April 29, 2011), I was given the list of the panel participants: Robert Marcham (moderator), Annamaria Lusardi, Ray Lewis, Rushia Brown, Chuck Lewis, Bill Imada, Sam and Char McNabb, and Gordon Brown. I had not heard of these financial literacy experts before and wondered whether they were academics as well (please, remember that I was born in Italy, so I do not know very much about American football or basketball). So, it was not until I arrived at NYSE that Friday that I discovered that Ray Lewis was THE Ray Lewis of the Baltimore Ravens, Sam and Char McNabb were the parents of THE Donovan McNabb, and Rushia Brown was THE Rushia Brown. There I was sitting on a podium to the right of superstar Ray Lewis, speaking to an audience of athletes and their families as well as the President of the UAL, Reggie Howard. Oh boy, I was in deep trouble!
I was the first on the panel to speak. I talked about the troubling state of financial literacy in the population, of the divide between those who know and those who do not know, of the sharp contrast between the complexity of financial markets and the very low level of financial knowledge that most people have. I spoke of the dire consequences of the lack of financial literacy; it is those who are less financially literate who pay more for financial services, who are more likely to engage in high cost mortgages and to default on them, and who are less likely to take advantage of the financial markets or to accumulate wealth. In the same way in which skills, practice, and experience help athletes to score and avoid faulty steps, financial literacy empowers people to take advantage of the opportunities offered by financial markets and to avoid scams or running into financial trouble. I also spoke of the difficulties that athletes may face in managing their finances and taking care of themselves, their families, and their communities both because of the peculiarity of their short careers, the increased complexity of financial markets that everybody is facing, and, of course, their fame.
Ray Lewis spoke next. He simply blew everyone away. He spoke of what financial literacy means to him, and the problems he has faced. He reflected on the grim statistics we had heard from the moderator that more than 70% of NFL players are bankrupt, unemployed, or divorced a few years after retiring. He talked about how many young athletes are ill informed about investing and managing their money and the problems that result. And he spoke of the need for athletes to be worry-free when on the field practicing or playing—absolutely nothing should distract from the focus on the game. He spoke with a passion and an intensity I have not seen in any person. I have a Ph.D. in economics and am myself passionate about financial literacy, but I could not have articulated the case for financial literacy the way Ray Lewis did.
Sam and Char McNabb spoke of the continuous worries that parents of athletes have about their children. From the anticipation of who will be drafted to the journey through the games, injuries, victories, and losses, they spoke of the desire to protect their son from making bad financial decisions, but the difficulty they face in knowing where to turn for advice. It was when Char McNabb spoke that I realized that about half of the audience were mothers of athletes. She asked them to raise their hands, and so many hands went up! I cannot begin to tell you how appealing it was to see that it is their mothers who the athletes brought to this event; it is them they turn to, whom they trust. I developed an instant affinity for these football players! And when the speaking was finished and I watched the mothers posing for a group photo, I could clearly see where the determination of these athletes comes from!
Sitting among these extraordinary people, I started to dream. What if these athletes became the champions for financial literacy? What if they spoke to students and told them how important it is to become financially literate. Students would listen to them; they look up to athletes. Imagine if we could organize a competition among schools, and the students who got a perfect score on a financial literacy test would get to spend an hour with, say, Ray Lewis or Reggie Howard, to listen to the stories of how they trained to win a game and why they care about financial literacy. Imagine if one of these players decided to become a spokesperson for financial literacy. Imagine…
As I hope I have conveyed, this was not my usual financial literacy conference, and not my typical audience. But it was a special day, and it illustrated how profound and widespread financial illiteracy is and how severe the problems associated with it are. And everybody can be affected by it, even the superstars we watch on TV. At the close of the panel, I got a warm handshake from Ray Lewis; he said he enjoyed my talk. It was . . . priceless!
You can look at some of the photoes of the event on our Facebook. Here is the link: http://www.facebook.com/media/set/?set=a.174503175936844.49893.119369231450239&saved
I was the first on the panel to speak. I talked about the troubling state of financial literacy in the population, of the divide between those who know and those who do not know, of the sharp contrast between the complexity of financial markets and the very low level of financial knowledge that most people have. I spoke of the dire consequences of the lack of financial literacy; it is those who are less financially literate who pay more for financial services, who are more likely to engage in high cost mortgages and to default on them, and who are less likely to take advantage of the financial markets or to accumulate wealth. In the same way in which skills, practice, and experience help athletes to score and avoid faulty steps, financial literacy empowers people to take advantage of the opportunities offered by financial markets and to avoid scams or running into financial trouble. I also spoke of the difficulties that athletes may face in managing their finances and taking care of themselves, their families, and their communities both because of the peculiarity of their short careers, the increased complexity of financial markets that everybody is facing, and, of course, their fame.
Ray Lewis spoke next. He simply blew everyone away. He spoke of what financial literacy means to him, and the problems he has faced. He reflected on the grim statistics we had heard from the moderator that more than 70% of NFL players are bankrupt, unemployed, or divorced a few years after retiring. He talked about how many young athletes are ill informed about investing and managing their money and the problems that result. And he spoke of the need for athletes to be worry-free when on the field practicing or playing—absolutely nothing should distract from the focus on the game. He spoke with a passion and an intensity I have not seen in any person. I have a Ph.D. in economics and am myself passionate about financial literacy, but I could not have articulated the case for financial literacy the way Ray Lewis did.
Sam and Char McNabb spoke of the continuous worries that parents of athletes have about their children. From the anticipation of who will be drafted to the journey through the games, injuries, victories, and losses, they spoke of the desire to protect their son from making bad financial decisions, but the difficulty they face in knowing where to turn for advice. It was when Char McNabb spoke that I realized that about half of the audience were mothers of athletes. She asked them to raise their hands, and so many hands went up! I cannot begin to tell you how appealing it was to see that it is their mothers who the athletes brought to this event; it is them they turn to, whom they trust. I developed an instant affinity for these football players! And when the speaking was finished and I watched the mothers posing for a group photo, I could clearly see where the determination of these athletes comes from!
Sitting among these extraordinary people, I started to dream. What if these athletes became the champions for financial literacy? What if they spoke to students and told them how important it is to become financially literate. Students would listen to them; they look up to athletes. Imagine if we could organize a competition among schools, and the students who got a perfect score on a financial literacy test would get to spend an hour with, say, Ray Lewis or Reggie Howard, to listen to the stories of how they trained to win a game and why they care about financial literacy. Imagine if one of these players decided to become a spokesperson for financial literacy. Imagine…
As I hope I have conveyed, this was not my usual financial literacy conference, and not my typical audience. But it was a special day, and it illustrated how profound and widespread financial illiteracy is and how severe the problems associated with it are. And everybody can be affected by it, even the superstars we watch on TV. At the close of the panel, I got a warm handshake from Ray Lewis; he said he enjoyed my talk. It was . . . priceless!
You can look at some of the photoes of the event on our Facebook. Here is the link: http://www.facebook.com/media/set/?set=a.174503175936844.49893.119369231450239&saved
Kamis, 21 April 2011
The Workplace Financial Fitness Toolkit
On April 12, 2011, we launched the Workplace Financial Fitness Toolkit. With the support of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) Foundation, Punam Keller, from the Tuck School of Business, and I have designed a customized workplace financial fitness program using an innovative and practical approach based on well-established financial literacy and marketing principles. Every employer interested in starting a financial education program can use this toolkit.
Lack of financial literacy in the United States is well documented—the research tells us that most people lack basic financial knowledge and are not well equipped to deal with complex financial decisions. As a result, many individuals have difficulty making sound financial decisions. Remedying this problem is terribly complicated, one reason being that individuals have different needs, different preferences, and face different economic circumstances.
The workplace is an ideal venue to provide tools to facilitate financial decision-making. The goal in developing the toolkit is to provide a checklist of recommended financial fitness action items along with marketing materials to encourage employees to improve their financial fitness.
In essence we have developed two toolkits: an Employer Customization Toolkit and an Employee Customization Toolkit. The Employer Customization Toolkit contains (1) the Employer Checklist, (2) motivational information about the importance of every employer providing or facilitating 10 key steps to financial fitness, and (3) additional materials to help employers with implementation of the financial fitness recommendations. The recommendations are divided into three stages: basic, intermediate, and advanced. Employers who currently offer financial fitness assistance can use the Employee Customization Kit to motivate employees to participate in the financial fitness programs offered.
The Employee Customization Toolkit is designed to empower employees to improve their own financial fitness. The Employee Customization Toolkit contains (1) the Employee Checklist, (2) motivational information on the importance of every employee improving aspects of their financial fitness, and (3) implementation guidelines for each recommendation. Like the Employer Customization Toolkit, the employee toolkit allows individuals to customize or select the fitness recommendations that suit their needs.
Developing the program was a challenging task. But we very much benefitted from the guidance of Michelle Greene, the VP, Head of Corporate Responsibility, executive director of the NYSE Foundation and a champion of financial literacy. We also assembled a team of experts to help us in this work. We benefitted from the insights of academics like Robert Clark (North Carolina State University College of Management) and Eric Johnson (Columbia Business School), financial literacy leaders like Carrie Schwab-Pomeratz and Michael Townsend from the Schwab Foundation and Ted Beck from the National Endowment from Financial Education (Carrie and Ted also serve on President Obama’s Council on Financial Capability), Janet Parker from the Society for Human Resource Management (a former member of President Bush’s Council on Financial Literacy), and Jennifer Wayman from Olgivy PR Worldwide (one of the creators of the The Heart Truth, an award-winning national awareness campaign about women and heart disease with its signature Red Dress symbol).
On April 12, not only did we launch the program but we also rang the opening bell at NYSE, an experience I will never forget. And yes, we took a lot of pictures which are now posted on the FLC’s Facebook page. You can also watch a video of the opening bell ceremony (did I say it was memorable?).
http://www.facebook.com/pages/Financial-Literacy-Center/119369231450239
http://www.nyse.com/events/1302515608944.html
We hope many companies will embrace the Workplace Financial Fitness Toolkit and customize it to meet their goals of assisting employees in the attainment of financial independence and security. The program can be found here:
http://nyse.nyx.com/financial-fitness-kit
Lack of financial literacy in the United States is well documented—the research tells us that most people lack basic financial knowledge and are not well equipped to deal with complex financial decisions. As a result, many individuals have difficulty making sound financial decisions. Remedying this problem is terribly complicated, one reason being that individuals have different needs, different preferences, and face different economic circumstances.
The workplace is an ideal venue to provide tools to facilitate financial decision-making. The goal in developing the toolkit is to provide a checklist of recommended financial fitness action items along with marketing materials to encourage employees to improve their financial fitness.
In essence we have developed two toolkits: an Employer Customization Toolkit and an Employee Customization Toolkit. The Employer Customization Toolkit contains (1) the Employer Checklist, (2) motivational information about the importance of every employer providing or facilitating 10 key steps to financial fitness, and (3) additional materials to help employers with implementation of the financial fitness recommendations. The recommendations are divided into three stages: basic, intermediate, and advanced. Employers who currently offer financial fitness assistance can use the Employee Customization Kit to motivate employees to participate in the financial fitness programs offered.
The Employee Customization Toolkit is designed to empower employees to improve their own financial fitness. The Employee Customization Toolkit contains (1) the Employee Checklist, (2) motivational information on the importance of every employee improving aspects of their financial fitness, and (3) implementation guidelines for each recommendation. Like the Employer Customization Toolkit, the employee toolkit allows individuals to customize or select the fitness recommendations that suit their needs.
Developing the program was a challenging task. But we very much benefitted from the guidance of Michelle Greene, the VP, Head of Corporate Responsibility, executive director of the NYSE Foundation and a champion of financial literacy. We also assembled a team of experts to help us in this work. We benefitted from the insights of academics like Robert Clark (North Carolina State University College of Management) and Eric Johnson (Columbia Business School), financial literacy leaders like Carrie Schwab-Pomeratz and Michael Townsend from the Schwab Foundation and Ted Beck from the National Endowment from Financial Education (Carrie and Ted also serve on President Obama’s Council on Financial Capability), Janet Parker from the Society for Human Resource Management (a former member of President Bush’s Council on Financial Literacy), and Jennifer Wayman from Olgivy PR Worldwide (one of the creators of the The Heart Truth, an award-winning national awareness campaign about women and heart disease with its signature Red Dress symbol).
On April 12, not only did we launch the program but we also rang the opening bell at NYSE, an experience I will never forget. And yes, we took a lot of pictures which are now posted on the FLC’s Facebook page. You can also watch a video of the opening bell ceremony (did I say it was memorable?).
http://www.facebook.com/pages/Financial-Literacy-Center/119369231450239
http://www.nyse.com/events/1302515608944.html
We hope many companies will embrace the Workplace Financial Fitness Toolkit and customize it to meet their goals of assisting employees in the attainment of financial independence and security. The program can be found here:
http://nyse.nyx.com/financial-fitness-kit
Jumat, 01 April 2011
Celebrating Financial Literacy Month
April has been declared Financial Literacy Month and we, at the Financial Literacy Center, celebrate it by meeting with our team members to present preliminary results from the 19 projects the teams are doing in year 2. The research teams are tailoring educational materials for people at various stages of their lives: young workers, mid-career workers, those approaching retirement, and retirees. They are also targeting underserved populations such as low-income, young, and disabled workers, all of whom are particularly vulnerable during periods of financial turbulence.
The second year activities cover a range of topics, including:
• How automatic enrollment in pension plans can improve savings
• How to increase the use of the government’s key tax-time savings policies, particularly the Saver’s Credit targeted to lower-income households
• How financial advisors help their clients decide when to claim Social Security benefits and whether this advice is based on client attributes
• How to develop an effective curricula to teach financial literacy to pre-service K-8 teachers and adult learners
• How to improve access to financial services for legal immigrants
• Whether additional disclosure would be valuable in helping people anticipate and plan for health care expenses in retirement
• Whether an intensive online “financial bootcamp” for women is effective in modifying behavior.
We held our meeting at Harvard Law School and I am grateful to Howell Jackson for hosting the workshop in the elegant rooms of HLS. But the New England weather did its April fool’s trick: rather than warm spring weather, we got several inches of snow today. (Note to self: move closer to the equator!)
You can read more about our projects at: http://www.rand.org/labor/centers/financial-literacy/projects.html
And you can see a picture of all of us on Facebook!
The second year activities cover a range of topics, including:
• How automatic enrollment in pension plans can improve savings
• How to increase the use of the government’s key tax-time savings policies, particularly the Saver’s Credit targeted to lower-income households
• How financial advisors help their clients decide when to claim Social Security benefits and whether this advice is based on client attributes
• How to develop an effective curricula to teach financial literacy to pre-service K-8 teachers and adult learners
• How to improve access to financial services for legal immigrants
• Whether additional disclosure would be valuable in helping people anticipate and plan for health care expenses in retirement
• Whether an intensive online “financial bootcamp” for women is effective in modifying behavior.
We held our meeting at Harvard Law School and I am grateful to Howell Jackson for hosting the workshop in the elegant rooms of HLS. But the New England weather did its April fool’s trick: rather than warm spring weather, we got several inches of snow today. (Note to self: move closer to the equator!)
You can read more about our projects at: http://www.rand.org/labor/centers/financial-literacy/projects.html
And you can see a picture of all of us on Facebook!
Senin, 14 Maret 2011
Financial fragility
I mentioned in my previous blog post the importance of having a buffer stock of savings. I would like to continue to discuss what individuals actually have or can rely on in case they are hit by a shock. This is part of a new research project, which is joint work with Peter Tufano of Harvard Business School and Daniel Schneider, a sociologist who is finishing his Ph.D. at Princeton University.
We engaged the market research firm TNS Global and collaborated with them to design a new survey that was fielded in June–September 2009. Specifically, we ask respondents: “How confident are you that you could come up with $2,000 if an unexpected need arose within the next month?” Respondents could reply:
• I am certain I could come up with the full $2,000
• I could probably come up with $2,000
• I could probably not come up with $2,000
• I am certain I could not come up with $2,000
Because we are dealing with an unexpected event in the future, it is important to ask about confidence rather than ask a yes or no question. The $2,000 figure reflects the order of magnitude of the cost of a major car repair, a large co-payment on a medical expense, legal expenses, or a home repair.
The news is not good: The capacity to cope with financial emergencies is very limited. Half of Americans report that they would probably or certainly be unable to cope with such an emergency. More specifically: 24.9% of respondents reported being certainly able to cope; 25.1% probably able to cope; 22.2% probably unable to cope; and 27.9% certainly unable to cope.
The capacity to cope with a financial emergency is not only generally limited but also varies significantly with the economic and demographic characteristics of individuals and their households. While those with higher income and greater educational attainment report greater capacity to cope, a large proportion of individuals with middle-class incomes report they are certainly not or probably not able to cope. Moreover, even among those with some higher education, more than half reply that they would be certainly or probably not able to cope. In other words, while inability to cope is severe among the less educated and low-income groups, it is not limited to the poor or to a small group of the population. Similarly, while financial fragility is more pronounced among the young, many older respondents, who are presumably close to retirement and at a point in life when their wealth accumulation should be at its peak, report anticipating difficulty in coping with a financial a shock. And women and families with children are less likely to be able to cope with shocks.
The financial crisis is a clear contributor to financial fragility, although not the only one. Those who suffered wealth losses, particularly large losses in excess of 30%, report greater inability to cope. This may explain why even some wealthy people anticipate potential inability to cope with a shock—likely due to lowered wealth in conjunction with high fixed costs and inflexible commitments The unemployed are also much more financially fragile, with just about one-third reporting they would certainly or probably be able to cope and 41.2% reporting they would certainly be unable to cope.
This is a worrisome finding as it shows that individuals and the economy are fragile to shocks. Many policies have so far focused on promoting asset building for the long run. It may be useful to start considering the short run as well.
I am presenting this work at the Brookings Institution this week, and I will keep discussing more findings and the potential implications of this work. Please send me your comments, too.
The Huffington Post featured this paper on their web and asked to share your story. Here is the link:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/03/17/could-you-come-up-with-20_n_837225.html
We engaged the market research firm TNS Global and collaborated with them to design a new survey that was fielded in June–September 2009. Specifically, we ask respondents: “How confident are you that you could come up with $2,000 if an unexpected need arose within the next month?” Respondents could reply:
• I am certain I could come up with the full $2,000
• I could probably come up with $2,000
• I could probably not come up with $2,000
• I am certain I could not come up with $2,000
Because we are dealing with an unexpected event in the future, it is important to ask about confidence rather than ask a yes or no question. The $2,000 figure reflects the order of magnitude of the cost of a major car repair, a large co-payment on a medical expense, legal expenses, or a home repair.
The news is not good: The capacity to cope with financial emergencies is very limited. Half of Americans report that they would probably or certainly be unable to cope with such an emergency. More specifically: 24.9% of respondents reported being certainly able to cope; 25.1% probably able to cope; 22.2% probably unable to cope; and 27.9% certainly unable to cope.
The capacity to cope with a financial emergency is not only generally limited but also varies significantly with the economic and demographic characteristics of individuals and their households. While those with higher income and greater educational attainment report greater capacity to cope, a large proportion of individuals with middle-class incomes report they are certainly not or probably not able to cope. Moreover, even among those with some higher education, more than half reply that they would be certainly or probably not able to cope. In other words, while inability to cope is severe among the less educated and low-income groups, it is not limited to the poor or to a small group of the population. Similarly, while financial fragility is more pronounced among the young, many older respondents, who are presumably close to retirement and at a point in life when their wealth accumulation should be at its peak, report anticipating difficulty in coping with a financial a shock. And women and families with children are less likely to be able to cope with shocks.
The financial crisis is a clear contributor to financial fragility, although not the only one. Those who suffered wealth losses, particularly large losses in excess of 30%, report greater inability to cope. This may explain why even some wealthy people anticipate potential inability to cope with a shock—likely due to lowered wealth in conjunction with high fixed costs and inflexible commitments The unemployed are also much more financially fragile, with just about one-third reporting they would certainly or probably be able to cope and 41.2% reporting they would certainly be unable to cope.
This is a worrisome finding as it shows that individuals and the economy are fragile to shocks. Many policies have so far focused on promoting asset building for the long run. It may be useful to start considering the short run as well.
I am presenting this work at the Brookings Institution this week, and I will keep discussing more findings and the potential implications of this work. Please send me your comments, too.
The Huffington Post featured this paper on their web and asked to share your story. Here is the link:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/03/17/could-you-come-up-with-20_n_837225.html
Kamis, 24 Februari 2011
Saving for a rainy day
This week, February 20-26, 2011, is America Saves Week and I would like to write about the importance of precautionary saving.
One of the most worrisome statistics from the 2009 FINRA Financial Capability Study is that, when asked whether they had said aside sufficient funds to cover expenses for three months in case of sickness, job loss, economic downturn or other emergency, 51% of respondents (in a sample representative of America) said they do not have such precautionary funds. The crisis may have depleted some of these funds, but not having a buffer stock of savings exposes both the individual and the economy not only to a large shock but also to a small shock, such as the car breaking down, the house needing a small repair, or a sudden out of pocket health cost. And with unemployment rates as high as 10%, the lack of precautionary saving makes people not just vulnerable but also hit hard by the loss of their job.
The expansion of the opportunities to borrow may give the idea that, if an emergency arises, one can turn to credit cards or find other ways to borrow. The problem is that, in a moment of need, borrowing at high interest rates is not only problematic, but can turn quickly into higher costs and fees if one were to miss a payment, go over the limit, or use the card as a cash advance. Turning to payday lenders or similar types of loans would only further increase the cost of borrowing. The problem with these methods is that they do not provide insurance at all. One wants an instrument, like saving, that can help in time of needs, not turn to an instrument that becomes pricey when most in need.
Because it deals with emergencies that happen unexpectedly, these funds are better be liquid. One does not want to sell possessions: a car, the home, or other such items when faced with a shock. Even selling stocks may come with a stiff cost if one has to sell when the market is down. As we have experienced in the past few years, having high unemployment when the stock market plunged only accentuates the pain of job loss.
This principle is perhaps so important that even Aesop illustrates it in a fable known as The Ant and the Grasshopper. The fable concerns a grasshopper that has spent the warm months singing while the ant worked to store up food for winter. Sure enough when the winter came, the grasshopper found himself in great difficulty. I would say there are not many cases when economics crosses path with literature, but it is great when it happens. As the story says perhaps better than any equation I would write, it is a good idea to store up a little bit for those winter rainy days.
If you want to look at the statistics about who has saving for a rainy day, here is the link to the state-by-state Financial Capability Study data: http://www.usfinancialcapability.org/
One of the most worrisome statistics from the 2009 FINRA Financial Capability Study is that, when asked whether they had said aside sufficient funds to cover expenses for three months in case of sickness, job loss, economic downturn or other emergency, 51% of respondents (in a sample representative of America) said they do not have such precautionary funds. The crisis may have depleted some of these funds, but not having a buffer stock of savings exposes both the individual and the economy not only to a large shock but also to a small shock, such as the car breaking down, the house needing a small repair, or a sudden out of pocket health cost. And with unemployment rates as high as 10%, the lack of precautionary saving makes people not just vulnerable but also hit hard by the loss of their job.
The expansion of the opportunities to borrow may give the idea that, if an emergency arises, one can turn to credit cards or find other ways to borrow. The problem is that, in a moment of need, borrowing at high interest rates is not only problematic, but can turn quickly into higher costs and fees if one were to miss a payment, go over the limit, or use the card as a cash advance. Turning to payday lenders or similar types of loans would only further increase the cost of borrowing. The problem with these methods is that they do not provide insurance at all. One wants an instrument, like saving, that can help in time of needs, not turn to an instrument that becomes pricey when most in need.
Because it deals with emergencies that happen unexpectedly, these funds are better be liquid. One does not want to sell possessions: a car, the home, or other such items when faced with a shock. Even selling stocks may come with a stiff cost if one has to sell when the market is down. As we have experienced in the past few years, having high unemployment when the stock market plunged only accentuates the pain of job loss.
This principle is perhaps so important that even Aesop illustrates it in a fable known as The Ant and the Grasshopper. The fable concerns a grasshopper that has spent the warm months singing while the ant worked to store up food for winter. Sure enough when the winter came, the grasshopper found himself in great difficulty. I would say there are not many cases when economics crosses path with literature, but it is great when it happens. As the story says perhaps better than any equation I would write, it is a good idea to store up a little bit for those winter rainy days.
If you want to look at the statistics about who has saving for a rainy day, here is the link to the state-by-state Financial Capability Study data: http://www.usfinancialcapability.org/
Langganan:
Postingan (Atom)